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Influence of stock market variables on correlations among S&P sectors
Coufal, Matěj ; Čech, František (advisor) ; Baruník, Jozef (referee)
This thesis investigates the influence of the exogenous variables (S&P 500 Index, 10-year US Treasury Note, crude oil, and CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)) on the dynamics of correlations among S&P sectors. We concentrate on daily and weekly investment horizons, and employ the bivariate Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model. Changes in correlations implied by the DCC model are further modelled using the exogenous variables. The results indicate that VIX has the best ability to predict future changes in correlations. An increase in VIX on day (week) t is expected to cause a rise in correlations on day (week) t + 1. Next, correlations of the Energy sector tend to increase in weeks when crude oil prices are falling. Further, correlations of the Information Technology sector are likely to increase on days of rising yield on the 10-year US Treasury Note. Although we detect a certain power to predict future changes in correlations, very little of these changes is actually explained. 1
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The impact of quantitative easing on public sector bond yields of selected countries since 2007
Nacházel, Jan ; Jílek, Josef (advisor) ; Pekárek, Štěpán (referee)
This thesis deals with the impact of quantitative easing on public sector bond yields of selected countries in the world. It mentions channels of standard monetary policy tools and channels of quantitative easing, which can be included among unconventional monetary policy tools. This thesis analyses the impacts of quantitative easing, which was done by the Federal Reserve System, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. Firstly, all these institutions fought against the financial crisis with standard monetary policy tools. However, those tools were not very effective, therefore the institutions moved to non-standard tools. After the analysis based on event-study method was carried out, it was found out that mainly the first announcements about the policy of quantitative easing were always the most effective in decreasing government bond yield. The subsequent expansion of the policy of quantitative easing did not have such impact. The main benefit of this thesis is in the examination of the impact of later statements regarding quantitative easing on government bond yield, which were not effective in decreasing government bond yield.
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The actual debt crisis and Czech republic
Šornová, Martina ; Bič, Josef (advisor) ; Machytka, Daniel (referee)
In globalized world where the individual national economies are strongly connected and where development of a State or an international integration influences the development of another entity, the debt crisis has become one of the most discussed topics in the European Union as well as all over the world.
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The Attraction of Czech Government Bonds for Foreign Investors
Machač, Erik ; Musílek, Petr (advisor) ; Málek, Jiří (referee)
Thesis deals with the attraction of Czech government bonds from the perspective of foreign investors in relation with the current economic development in CEE region, and further in the rest of the world. Analysis is targeted to issue of the Czech government bonds in turn of 2009 and 2010. After the analysis and description of foreign investors representing huge part of the entire demand for the Czech government bonds on the domestic and foreign markets the paper further covers individual pros and cons of the instrument. The empirical analysis is conducted as the comparison of the yields and risk of Czech goventment bonds with the similar instruments issued by Hungarian and Slovakian governments. Separate part of the thesis covers the characteristics of used instruments (Czech T-Notes and T-Bills) and legal adjustments of the auctions through which these instruments are placed on the domestic market. Thesis also contains a separate chapters covering the results of former issues of the Czech government bonds abroad and the analysis of tax consequences resulting from holding and selling the Czech government bonds by foreign investors.
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